Nível
Geográfico
Colégio
Eleitoral
Prob. de Vitória
(Democratas)
Pesquisas
Eleitorais
Delegados Previsão Histórica
(Desde 1992)
Prob. usada
na previsão
Data da pesquisa
mais recente
Pesquisas
publicadas
Institutos de
pesquisa
Voto popular
(Democratas)
Variação Voto
(últimos 7 dias)
Nacional 538 97.9 57.1 Modelo 2020-09-21 804 61 49.8 -0.5
Estados COM pesquisas
California 55 96.6 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-13 22 11 60.3 0.0
Texas 38 53.7 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-18 45 19 47.3 0.5
Florida 29 59.6 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-09-18 68 31 48.2 0.3
New York 29 93.7 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-22 7 3 62.9 0.0
Pennsylvania 20 64.7 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 78 32 49.6 -1.0
Ohio 18 40.1 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-09-15 22 14 44.8 0.0
Georgia 16 48.7 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 39 26 46.6 -0.3
Michigan 16 73.4 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-19 83 33 48.6 -2.0
North Carolina 15 61.1 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-18 82 33 47.8 1.6
New Jersey 14 86.2 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 9 6 57.7 0.0
Virginia 13 88.2 42.9 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 18 6 53.3 0.0
Washington 12 87.9 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-14 7 4 58.1 0.0
Arizona 11 63.3 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-16 63 26 48.2 0.0
Indiana 11 23.9 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 4 3 39.0 0.0
Massachusetts 11 92.9 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-27 6 4 68.9 0.0
Tennessee 11 41.4 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-05-22 3 3 41.9 0.0
Minnesota 10 71.5 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 26 14 51.6 -0.3
Missouri 10 28.4 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 10 6 45.2 0.2
Wisconsin 10 78.0 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-16 218 30 50.1 0.0
Alabama 9 42.7 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-19 6 6 43.7 0.0
Colorado 9 70.8 57.1 Pesquisas 2020-09-07 14 7 49.7 0.0
South Carolina 9 32.3 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 10 8 43.6 -2.9
Kentucky 8 24.0 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-14 10 8 37.2 0.0
Louisiana 8 42.1 28.6 Pesquisas 2020-09-05 3 3 41.9 0.0
Connecticut 7 77.4 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-05-24 6 3 52.1 0.0
Oklahoma 7 7.6 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-08 5 4 35.2 0.0
Iowa 6 49.7 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-09-17 22 12 47.1 0.3
Kansas 6 37.0 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-09 5 4 41.3 0.0
Mississippi 6 30.4 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-08-30 5 4 40.1 0.0
Nevada 6 57.8 71.4 Pesquisas 2020-09-10 7 6 45.9 0.0
Utah 6 16.3 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-12 11 2 35.4 0.0
New Mexico 5 76.4 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-02 4 3 54.0 0.0
Maine 4 81.7 100.0 Pesquisas 2020-09-20 16 9 51.8 -5.8
New Hampshire 4 61.5 85.7 Pesquisas 2020-09-11 14 7 45.7 0.0
Alaska 3 43.1 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-07-24 4 3 44.6 0.0
Montana 3 31.6 14.3 Pesquisas 2020-09-16 12 9 42.1 0.0
North Dakota 3 33.2 0.0 Pesquisas 2020-03-05 5 2 37.9 0.0
Estados SEM pesquisas
Illinois 20 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Maryland 10 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Oregon 7 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Arkansas 6 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Nebraska 5 0.0 0.0 Histórica
West Virginia 5 28.6 28.6 Histórica
Hawaii 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Idaho 4 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Rhode Island 4 100.0 100.0 Histórica
D.C. 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Delaware 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
South Dakota 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica
Vermont 3 100.0 100.0 Histórica
Wyoming 3 0.0 0.0 Histórica